The Democrats & Game Theory
Three weeks ago, I reported about the hypocritical and seemingly cowardly surrender of the Democratic Congress to President Bush. They had the power to stop the
So, why did they do it, if they were serious about ending the war? Well, the answer is that they weren't serious about ending the war. That was just something they pretended to do in order to keep their base happy. They may or may not have favored a withdrawal, but that was not their top priority. In reality, this was a cynical, calculated attempt at gaining an advantage for next year's Presidential election.
They counted on the premise that most voters were unaware of the fact that Congress had the upper hand, and so they would falsely believe that the brief battle between Congress and Bush represented a sincere attempt of stopping the war. Creating that image was a key part in this plan. At the same time, it was necessary for them that their "attempt" failed and the war continued.
Because imagine what would have happened if they had stopped the war. Whether violence in
By contrast, now the mess in
So, given the imperfections in the political system and the limited rationality of voters, the seemingly puzzling Democratic "surrender" to Bush might be seen as a brilliant albeit extremely cynical way to ensure victory in next year's election.
Perhaps you think that I am jumping to conclusions and am attributing the Democrats with more intelligence and cynicism than they actually have? Well, that might be, but consider the fact that leading Democratic presidential candidates, Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, refused to state an opinion on the Democratic surrender bill that granted unconditional funding to the